Written by Raymond Merriman

MMTA will conduct its first workshop course on “Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets,” April 6-8, 2013. This is the first course of the new Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), and is open to non-MMTA students via this webinar.

This course will outline the various cycles (long-, intermediate-, and short-term) in financial markets, and the various phases and patterns that unfold in each. Chart patterns that correlate with cyclical troughs and crests will be shown and discussed in detail. Attendees will then be instructed on trading and investment strategies for each type of cycle, as well as their phases.

The live webcast will take place from 10:00 AM – 6:00 PM Saturday and Sunday (with snack and lunch breaks), as well as Monday from 10:00 AM – 4:00 PM. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course. For this course, you will need a computer with speakers. The actual presentation itself will take place at the Michigan State Educational Center in Troy, Michigan, for those who have applied as apprentices to MMTA.

The instructor for this course will be Raymond Merriman, with a special presentation by noted Technical Analyst Rick Lorusso.

The cost for this course is $3000.00. Attendees may apply this course towards credit to an MMTA certificate of completion if future courses and tests are taken and passed.

For further information, please go to , or contact Maureen Hogan at


2013 Forecast 2013 Book.

Written by Raymond Merriman   

It’s that time of the year again!

Forecast 2013


The Forecast 2013 Book is now out as of December 12, 2012! And the e-Book version is also out! For those who place their orders before the books are delivered by the printer, you should receive your copies by Christmas.

 MMA’s annual Forecast Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecast book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. 2012 is now over and we can see that several forecasts made in the 2012 book have unfolded. We will list a couple of the forecasts below as of August 10, but for a more inclusive list, please go to

•    Currencies: “Both currencies (Euro and Swiss Franc) are likely to top out before June 2012, and probably before the end of March. Each will likely top out below their highs of 2011, and then begin a decline to levels below their lows of 2011 by December 2012-June 2013.” The Euro topped out at 1.3486 on February 24, then fell to a low of 1.2040 on July 24. This was below its low of 2011. The high and low of the year in the Swiss Franc was on the same dates.

•    Grains: “Intermediate-term cycle lows are due in Corn in December 2011, +/- 6 months, Soybeans in September 2011, +/- 7 months, and Wheat in September 2012 +/- 6 months. Once these lows are in, my expectation is that all grains will soar into the Uranus-Pluto square of June 2012-March 2015, with the most likely period of a top in 2013-2014. Both Corn and Soybeans could make new highs then, but with Wheat, it is less certain.” That is exactly what has happened as Corn made its intermediate-term low on June 1, 2012 and Soybeans on December 14, 2011. Both then soared to a new all-time high in July-August. Wheat bottomed December 9, 2011, and rallied also into July-August, but not to a new all-time high.

•    Treasury Notes (10-Year)“The study of both cycles and geocosmics suggests that the peak in the U.S. Treasury market could be realized anytime from late 2011 through 2012. From there, prices are scheduled to decline into the 6-, 3-, and 2-year cycle troughs due January-July 2013. It is possible that the 10-Year Notes could rally slightly further, to 133-136, before mid-2012.” As of this writing in mid-August 2012, the T-Notes have risen to 135/29 on June 1, a new all-time high, but still within our price target given last year.

•    The USA Stock Market (Dow Jones Industrial Average)“A more normal bull market rally would find prices rallying up to 13,666 +/- 488 or 14,363 +/- 932, and topping out near the middle of the cycle (say June 2012, +/- 3 months).”  The high of the year in the DJIA as of this writing has been 13,338 on May 1.

•    Crude Oil: “Crude Oil’s 4-year cycle is due to top out sometime before July 2012, either around 110-117, 125.90 +/- 11.05, or 157.38 +/- 14.75. Prices could then drop sharply back below 80.00/barrel in late 2012 through early 2013. Watch closely the period around June 26. +/- 2 weeks.” The yearly high was 110.55 on March 1 and the low was 77.28 on June 28.

And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates. Many of the 2012 critical reversal dates given for various markets have been impressive. As of August 15, there were 8 critical reversal dates given for grains, 7 corresponded to significant reversals within 4 trading days, including the yearly high and low in Wheat, and yearly highs in Wheat, Corn and Soybeans. Of the 9 critical reversal dates listed for currencies, eight coincided with a reversal in the Euro and Swiss currencies within 3 days, including the yearly high in both, plus the yearly low in the Japanese Yen. 10 reversal dates were listed for Gold and Silver. Of those, 8 were nearby to fairly powerful reversals within 0-4 trading days, including the low of the year in each (at different times). In the U.S. stock market, there were 6 listed critical reversal dates. In 4 cases, significant reversals happened within 0-3 days, and a fifth instance if the NASDAQ was included. The high of the year in the S&P was in this group.

Do you think this kind of accuracy would be valuable to traders? You betcha!


We are pleased to announce that the cost of this year’s book of $55.00 (plus postage) will remain the same as last year. Additionally we will offer Forecast 2013 in e-book format at these same prices, although the e-book may not contain the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back, as will be the case in the printed hard copy editions. But there will be no postage costs with the e-book. The 2013 Forecast book will also be available through Apple iPhone 4 and 4S, iPad, and Kindle, but will not be available as quickly as the hard copy or our own electronic version. The electronic book version from Apple or will have to be ordered directly through them once the book passes their approval process, probably in mid-December.

    Please note that you may order this year’s Forecast 2013 book by express (“expedited”) mail for faster and more reliable delivery if you wish. Just check the appropriate box on the order form. We cannot guarantee timely delivery for any orders that are sent standard or priority mail.


There is only one printing of these books each year, and when they are out, they are out! No additional printings. Keep in mind these books make wonderful holiday gifts for your friends, family, congressional representative, broker, and financial advisors. As is the case every year, the annual Forecast Book is written in October and November, printed in December, and pre-publication orders are mailed out by December 15.

About Merriman Market Timing Academy

Everyone has a story…

This is the story of the Merriman Market Timing Academy:

The history of an entity, or biography of a person, can be related in a chronological order of events or it can be told in a story format. The history of MMTA will be told in a story narrative format, and the biography of Raymond Merriman will be presented in the conventional chronological order of important events in his life that led up to the creation of the Merriman Market Timing Academy.

In 1993, I – Raymond Merriman – conceived the idea of a school for market timing. I applied for and received the domain name of OLMTA, which stood for the “On-Line Market Timing Academy.” At the time, I was working as Vice-President of Retail Commodity Futures Accounts with Paine Webber, Inc., one of the larger Wall Street firms in America until it was acquired by UBS in 2000. My passion, however, was in research, especially regarding the presence of cycles in financial markets, and in particular, the U.S. stock market. To my knowledge, there had never been a thorough and complete study on the subject of cycles related to the U.S. stock market.

Thus I had the idea of taking on this challenging task. I was going to devote the next years of my life to conducting perhaps the first and certainly most extensive original research on cyclical highs and lows in the U.S. stock market. I would attempt to identify all the cycles that have unfolded throughout the history of the U.S. stock market with a consistent regularity. That is, I wanted to identify all the long-, intermediate-, and short-term cycles that unfolded within specific time bands since the late 17th century. I then wanted to see if these cycles had a correlation to specific chart patterns and technical studies. My intent was to then do further research and see if these cycles had additional correlations to certain planetary cycles.

I believed that cycles existed in financial markets because I had observed them over the prior 12 years. But except for the first book I had published in 1982 on gold price cycles, I hadn’t done any formal research on the subject. And after 8 years of working with Wall Street firms, I developed this desire to do serious research in order to determine whether or not cycles existed in the U.S. stock market – which had a longer recorded history of daily, weekly, monthly, even yearly prices than either gold or silver. It was like a compulsion – a sense of “fate” – that drove me to do this study on the stock market. This idea began to grow within me that 1) no one has ever done this, 2) it needed to be done, and 3) I would be the one to do it. And so I began visualizing the task ahead, and the more I visualized it, the more enthused I became.

As 1993 came to an end, so did my desire to work for Wall Street firms. I announced my plans to retire as VP of Retail Commodity Futures Accounts at Paine Webber. The response of management was to offer me more money to stay. I declined, for my passion to do this research was too strong to ignore. I knew I had to do it, and I had to start now or I would lose my opportunity to take this new path that was opening up before me. I would either be a “suit and tie” in the corporate world for the rest of my life, or I could contribute something that I felt would be of value to humanity – more valuable than what I was doing, even though it would mean foregoing a good income. My wife was worried. My friends were worried for me too. But I was excited. And I knew I could always go back to the Wall Street firms any time I wanted. After all, I had a good history as a productive employee, annually placing in the top 10% of production for my category position.

Thus in April 1994, I began the most intensive writing period of my life that was to last through September 2011. Little did I know at the time that what I was actually doing was creating a series of textbooks for OLMTA.

The first book I wrote upon embarking in this new direction was “Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics,” published in June 1994. The idea was to introduce a dynamic approach to cycles in financial markets, one that veered away from the static approach that assumed market cycles only made highs and lows at specific intervals of time with no allowance for orbs. I knew from years of observation and studies reported in “The Gold Book” that cycles didn’t bottom or top out at a precise number of days, weeks, months, or years as most practicing cycle analysts proposed. There was a “range of time” in which these rhythmic crests or troughs could unfold and still be part of a valid cycle. Furthermore, I soon discovered that cycles exhibited one of three patterns of sub-cycles, or phases, which present-day cycle analysts had not noted. Thus this book was a basic introduction to the language and reality of how cycles in financial markets worked, according to my experience and research.

The second book was also a basic book. This was titled “Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing,” and it was first published in June 1995. This book was written for market traders and students who knew nothing about astrology and how it could be used as a powerful tool in identifying reversals in financial markets. You see, I came from two backgrounds: one as a market analyst and one as an astrologer. These are the two loves of my life. But at the time, these two fields of study shared little in common to one another. Astrologers had little understanding or interest in financial markets, and students of financial markets had little knowledge of astrology.

In a very real sense, “Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics,” introduced a way of looking at financial markets to the astrology community. There was nothing in that book pertaining to the study of astrology. Yet it was all about market timing, and the study of astrology is very much about the timing of anything pertaining to human activity. The two subjects are compatible. In an equally real sense, “Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing” introduced astrology to students, investors, and traders of financial markets.

With the completion of the two basic books, I then commenced the most comprehensive research and writing of my life: the five volume series of books known as “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing.” I had decided to do this work over five volumes and unknown number of years. The research on Volume 1 – sub-titled “Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes” – began in 1996 and was published in 1997. The final Volume 5 – “Technical Analysis and Price Objectives – was published in September 2011. After 18 years (1993-2011) and over 1600 pages, the vision I had was finally completed. In the process, a series of textbooks on this subject was now available. A venue for offering an academic study for those who wanted to devote part of their life to codifying and documenting financial market studies within the language of Cycles, Technical Analysis, and Geocosmic Studies was now ready.

Yet I did not immediately grasp the significance of completing this effort. It was a satisfying feeling to have finally finished the five-volume series. However, it didn’t take long for me to become restless. What was I going to do now? I promised five volumes way back in 1996 and I delivered as I usually do with such commitments. There wasn’t to be a sixth volume. My career as a financial market analyst, trader, and newsletter writer had grown smartly as a result of the understanding that I derived from my research and findings. I could retire from writing books and just do daily, weekly and monthly market analysis for my subscribers the rest of my life. I could manage other people’s monies or devote my life to just trading my own personal account as I had enjoyed a series of consecutive profitable years doing just that part time. But the idea of managing other people’s monies or trading my own account full time would involve screen-watching every day. That never appealed to me, although I know it does for many of my clients. I respect their desire to do this, but I most enjoy research, writing, and teaching. It’s in my DNA, and if I don’t do that, I am not happy. I am happy providing the information, via my analysis of financial markets, that helps traders and investors do what they love to do best: trade and invest. But I love to do the digging and reporting of discoveries with high historical probabilities.

One day in January 2012, I woke up with a sudden realization. In 1993 I had created the OLMTA domain name, and every five years I had kept it up. I had forgotten what it was for. It was to teach the principles of financial market timing. And now I had the textbooks written for such an educational venue. It was time to start the Academy that I had dreamt about 19 years earlier.

Just like 19 years ago, this idea of teaching began to grow within me. I became excited. I felt a calling in life – a sense of purpose – all over again. And more than that, I began to understand that this Academy would be the culmination of my life’s work. This is what I have been preparing to do all of my life. And now that realization became clear and my consciousness shifted. It was a liberating sensation.

And so for the next ten years, I will devote myself to building this Academy, whose name has been changed to MMTA, or the Merriman Market Timing Academy. The curriculum that has been developed will consist of eight courses, comprised of six classes each, to be given over a three-day weekend, four times per year, in 2013 and 2014.

It is my hope to teach those who have a passion for financial market timing as I do. It is my hope and intention to develop new market timers, market analysts, traders, money managers, and others who will understand the value of market timing as taught in this Academy. It is my hope and intention that every student who participates in the MMTA will be able to apply this methodology I have developed over the greater part of my lifetime, to wisely and profitably guide others to recognize exceptional trading and investment situations when they arise, and thereby create a base of financial security and understanding of opportunities to enhance their financial future. And in this process of learning, I believe each student will also come to realize the connection between their own life decisions and the cycles in the cosmos that also correlate to cycles in the greater world of human activity.

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Welcome to the Merriman Market Timing Academy Blog


Welcome to the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA),

the first in-depth training program ever offered on the subject of financial market timing. This Academy is designed to provide a truly unique and rare opportunity – a “once in a lifetime” opportunity – to learn the methodology of market timing as developed by Raymond A. Merriman, Commodities Trading Advisor (C.T.A.), and President of the Merriman Market Analyst, Inc., since 1981. These original and well-researched techniques combine cycle studies, technical analysis, trend analysis, charting, and geocosmic studies for the purpose of identifying cyclical highs and lows in financial markets. The formal training that is to be offered in 2013-2014 will never take place in this format and sequence again. It is the only time it will be taught live by Raymond A. Merriman in this sequence.

Statement of Purpose

The purpose of the Merriman Market Timing Academy is to train students in the original methodology of market timing and market analysis as developed by Raymond A. Merriman. Its intention is to develop exceptional skills in financial market timing for traders, market analysts, and others who would wish to enter into the field of financial markets. The Academy may also be of great interest to students who simply wish to enhance their understanding of financial market timing and how it works in combination with technical analysis and chart patterns.